JadeGold is Still Batting 1000!

I wish he'd taken the bet. I'm almost glad I cleared my Haloscan ban list!

On September 1 at 3:50PM, in a comment to my McCain/Palin bumper sticker post, JadeGold (Guy Cabot) posted this:

Palin will be off the ticket by the end of Sep.

Then on the 5th at 1:36PM he posted this:

By 20 Sep, to be exact.

I'm really liking my prediction.

So, I challenged him:

Willing to put $100 on it?

But he weaseled:

What, no odds?

I countered:

Nope. Just a simple bet. If, on Sept. 21 she's still on the ticket, you pay me $100. If she's not, I pay you $100.

Game?

No response, so on the 8th I went to his blog and challenged him again:

What about that bet? Still liking your prediction? $100 if Palin is dropped or withdraws from the Republican ticket by Sept. 20? Or you pay me $100 if she’s still on the ticket on Sept. 21?

Only 11 days left to decide!

More weaseling (and verification that it really is Guy and not someone being a sock-puppet on my site):

I really like my forecast. Are you offering odds?

I held my ground:

Nope. Like I said, a simple bet.

Nine days remaining!

But he stayed with his "odds" defense:

C'mon, you've gotta give me odds! Think about it. A VP candidate has only been replaced once–so, it's a pretty big precedent. Plus I only have nine days.

Or is than his odd defense? But I stuck fast:

OK, the odds are 1:1. It's a lousy $100.

Game?

Nine days!

Since then, not a peep!

Tomorrow is the 20th. Palin looks secure, but I'm not so sure about Biden! And JadeGold remains consistently wrong, 100% of the time! And I put him back as the sole occupant of my HaloScan banned commenters list.

UPDATE 9/21: Not only is Palin still on the ticket, according to this report, well, you read it:

Palin draws crowd of 60,000 in The Villages

Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin told wildly cheering, flag-waving, chanting supporters that John McCain is "the only great man in this race" and promised Sunday he will fix the nation's economy if voters give the GOP four more years in the White House.

"He won't say this, so I'll say it for him," the Alaska governor said in an almost confidential tone at the close of her first Florida stump speech. "There is only one man in this election who has ever really fought for you. John McCain wore the uniform of his country for 22 years -- talk about tough."

The Villages, a vast, upscale planned community north of Orlando, has about 70,000 mostly adult residents -- many of them military retirees -- who vote reliably Republican in statewide races. Tens of thousands inched along roads into the picturesque town square of the complex, where they stood in sweltering heat for about four hours as local GOP officials and a country band revved up the crowd.

"Sa-Rah! Sa-Rah!" they chanted at every mention of her name, applauding loudly and waiving tiny American flags that were distributed -- along with free water bottles -- by local volunteers. The fire chief estimated the crowd at 60,000.

That's from a Ft. Meyers, FL paper.

Meanwhile, in North Carolina, Obama drew 20,000 "while another 5,000-10,000 were outside." Wow.

(h/t to McClatchy Watch)