Liberty is an inherently offensive lifestyle. Living in a free society guarantees that each one of us will see our most cherished principles and beliefs questioned and in some cases mocked. That psychic discomfort is the price we pay for basic civic peace. It's worth it. It's a pragmatic principle. Defend everyone else's rights, because if you don't there is no one to defend yours. -- MaxedOutMama

I don't just want gun rights... I want individual liberty, a culture of self-reliance....I want the whole bloody thing. -- Kim du Toit

The most glaring example of the cognitive dissonance on the left is the concept that human beings are inherently good, yet at the same time cannot be trusted with any kind of weapon, unless the magic fairy dust of government authority gets sprinkled upon them.-- Moshe Ben-David

The cult of the left believes that it is engaged in a great apocalyptic battle with corporations and industrialists for the ownership of the unthinking masses. Its acolytes see themselves as the individuals who have been "liberated" to think for themselves. They make choices. You however are just a member of the unthinking masses. You are not really a person, but only respond to the agendas of your corporate overlords. If you eat too much, it's because corporations make you eat. If you kill, it's because corporations encourage you to buy guns. You are not an individual. You are a social problem. -- Sultan Knish

All politics in this country now is just dress rehearsal for civil war. -- Billy Beck

Showing posts sorted by relevance for query "only harder". Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query "only harder". Sort by date Show all posts

Wednesday, September 27, 2006

Do It Again, Only HARDER!.

I note tonight that, once again, someone has gone to a "disarmed victim zone" (otherwise known as a school) with a firearm and committed mayhem. (I also note that this is major news in Australia, the UK, Israel, China, Bulgaria, South Africa and jeebus knows how many other foreign places. Yes, guns are terrible things here in the U.S. of A. More "victims of the Second Amendment," I'm sure they'll say.)

Those "gun-free zones" really do the job, don't they? They make sure that anyone willing and capable of defending against someone intent on evil has no chance to intervene before things go completely to hell.

But this is SOP for people who blame not the perpetrators, but the weapons for these evil deeds. Once again, let me quote Steven den Beste on the topic of "cognitive dissonance":
When someone tries to use a strategy which is dictated by their ideology, and that strategy doesn't seem to work, then they are caught in something of a cognitive bind. If they acknowledge the failure of the strategy, then they would be forced to question their ideology. If questioning the ideology is unthinkable, then the only possible conclusion is that the strategy failed because it wasn't executed sufficiently well. They respond by turning up the power, rather than by considering alternatives. (This is sometimes referred to as "escalation of failure".)
Or, as I express it, "Do it again, only HARDER!"

Here's another shining example.

California governator Arnold Schwarzenegger....

Well, you read it:
Legislation to protect domestic violence victims from gun violence signed into law

September 27, 2006

Need for legislation underscored after Evan Nash, a San Diego youth, was slain by his armed father.

SACRAMENTO – Governor Schwarzenegger yesterday signed legislation by Senator Christine Kehoe (D-San Diego) that will provide additional protection for people seeking court protective orders under the Family Code.

“This law is dedicated to the memory of Evan Nash, the San Diego teen who tragically lost his life while under the protection of a family court protective order. His mother, Lucy Nash, fought to change the law to further protect victims of domestic violence,” said Senator Kehoe.

In 2003, Evan Nash’s estranged father shot and killed his son less than 24 hours after being served with a protective order. In the aftermath of the tragedy, Lucy Nash stated that she thought Evan’s father’s firearms would be confiscated at the time his protective order was served, and that had she known they would not be confiscated, she would have moved her son to safety.

Specifically, Senate Bill 585:
1. Adds additional provisions to the Family Code to allow law enforcement to consider seeking the immediate surrender of a firearm from a person served with a protective order.

2. Reduces from 72 hours to 48 hours the time frame by which a person served with a protective order must show proof to a court that they either sold or surrendered their firearms.

3. Requires that application forms for protective orders ask what types of firearms are in the possession of the respondent.
“Unfortunately, in some cases the issuance of a protective order is followed by an assault or even murder,” said Senator Kehoe.
You don't say!
“In certain circumstances, it is important to remove the guns as quickly as possible after a protective order has been served to help increase public safety.”
But which cases? And how do you tell?
Last year, Evan’s mother, Lucy Nash, traveled from San Diego to Sacramento to testify in support of the measure. SB 585 will take effect January 1, 2007.
I've had to stop banging my head against hard surfaces. I've beaten too many of them into crumbling dust.

How many absurdities can you count in that one story?

1. While California has handgun registration, I don't believe they have long gun registration, so how are they supposed to know that someone turned everything in?

2. This law trusts that the target of such an order will actually comply, especially if he's planning violence. You know, in those few cases that actually lead to murder? It's worked so well in the past, hasn't it?

3. If they can't keep guns out of the hands of prohibited persons (i.e. known felons), how do they expect to keep them out of the hands of people with restraining orders if they really, really want one?

4. If someone with a restraining order really wants to kill someone, there are other methods besides guns, but this law is concerned not with violence, only gun violence.

5. The law supposedly disarms the perpetrator of domestic violence in 48 hours, rather than the completely unreasonable 72 hours - yet the bill is passed giving credit to a case in which the perpetrator killed within the new timeframe!

How many more can you come up with?

But if the previous law didn't work, do it again, only harder!

The next iteration will drop the time period to 24 hours, I suppose? And when the next violent offender hands his firearms in ammunition first?

If Ms. Nash had understood that the government is not responsible for her (or her son's) protection, then she might have done what was necessary to protect herself and her son. Instead, she depended on the State to protect her. She depended a piece of paper. But now other women will still think that a restraining order will provide more protection than the paper it's printed on.

And that's a damned lie.

But the ideology cannot be wrong. The only possible conclusion is that the strategy failed because it wasn't executed sufficiently well, so DO IT AGAIN, ONLY HARDER!

What will they do about "Gun-Free School Zones" now? Increase the radius of the exclusionary zone?

Friday, February 16, 2007

Once Again, It's Not About Guns. It's About Control.

And the hand-wringers can't see the forest for the trees, just the way governments like it. Insty points to a Telegraph op-ed that persists in repeating the "Do it again, only harder" mantra. At least they got the title right:
Gun laws that constrain the law-abiding

For James Andre Smartt-Ford, 16, Michael Dosunmu, 15, and Billy Cox, 15, the hand-wringing by police and politicians over the escalation of gun crime comes a little late: all three have been shot dead in south London over the past 10 days.

Public revulsion over such criminality is, shamingly, blunted by the fact that they appear to be victims of ethnic gang crime. Society at large sees it as "their" problem, not its own. Such a view is criminally complacent.
Don't feel too bad. We do it here, too, which makes me even more certain that "gun control" isn't about reducing crime. If its adherents were interested in reducing crime, they'd target the crime, not the tools.
We have, post-Dunblane, what are said to be the toughest gun control laws in the world. They have actually proved strikingly ineffectual.
You don't say!
Gun crime has doubled since they were introduced. Young hoodlums are able to acquire handguns - either replica weapons that have been converted, or imports from eastern Europe - with ease. With no dedicated frontier police, our borders remain hopelessly porous. The only people currently incommoded by the firearms laws are legitimate holders of shotgun licences, who are subjected to the most onerous police checks.
All of which was predicted prior to: the ban on full-auto weapons (1937), the ban on semi-auto long guns (1988), and the ban on all handguns (1997) - none of which even slowed the rate of increase in gun crime noticeably. But they did disarm the law-abiding, which is just another reason we don't believe the opposition when they tell us they aren't out to take away our guns. This fact also shoots in the foot every mayor and every governor who blames "lax gun laws" in neighboring states for the high crime in their own inner cities - where gun control laws are nearly as strict as England's. If an island can't keep them out, nobody can.

To the realist, that means it's time to pursue another vector. To the politician it means "Do it again, only harder!"
Even more disturbing is the insouciance with which guns are used. An 18-year-old Angolan refugee was sentenced to life this week for shooting dead a woman holding a baby at a christening party, in what was otherwise a "routine" robbery.
Seems a resonable sentence, no?
The truth is that the laws relating to possession of guns are nowhere near tough enough. Possessing a firearm carries a minimum sentence (ministers insist on calling it "mandatory", but it is not) of five years. That means release, in normal circumstances, after 30 months.
Let me do the math here... (carry the six,...) Um, thirty months isn't five years, it's two and a half. Is this "new math"? No, it's just the UK's version of "criminal justice." Continuing:
For those aged between 17 and 21, the minimum sentence is three years, which means release after just 18 months. Such piffling sanctions hardly amount to an effective deterrent to these young hoodlums. The police want the five-year minimum sentence extended to everyone over 17 and the Government should not hesitate to meet that request.
Don't you mean "thirty-month minimum sentence"? After all, it's not like a "life sentence" really means, you know, life. I wonder how long it will be before that Angolan refugee gets out to try again?
But more is required.
Of course! "Do it again, only HARDER!
In particular, the ludicrous inhibitions placed on the police when it comes to exercising powers of stop and search have to be lifted. So must the post-Macpherson burden of political correctness, which makes any police officer think twice before challenging a young black man on the street. There is a wider failure here.
Right! The police must be allowed to be more intrusive without fear of censure! Actually, it might be OK if they were just allowed to treat criminals like they get away with treating the law-abiding.
This Government came to power with high hopes of ameliorating the social crisis in Britain's sink estates. These were "their people" and they would be rescued.
Isn't that what they always promise? Remember Mencken:
The government consists of a gang of men exactly like you and me. They have, taking one with another, no special talent for the business of government; they have only a talent for getting and holding office. Their principal device to that end is to search out groups who pant and pine for something they can't get and to promise to give it to them. Nine times out of ten that promise is worth nothing. The tenth time is made good by looting A to satisfy B. In other words, government is a broker in pillage, and every election is sort of an advance auction sale of stolen goods.
Or, graphically:
(Chip Bok, Akron Beacon-Journal)
Amen.
But the fractured families, the inadequate schools, the crippling impact of welfarism, the appalling living conditions - all have stubbornly resisted New Labour's lacklustre efforts.
(My emphasis.) Well, a little recognition of reality at last.
Conditions in many inner cities have actually worsened. And what a price we are paying.
But your solution? "Dedicated frontier police?" "Mandatory five-year (30 month) sentences"? Greater police powers? It's just more of the same. Another Menckenism:
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.
Well, not all of them are imaginary. Some are real, and some of those are generated (or worsened) by government, but those that aren't imaginary are too often blown out of proportion for just the reason Mencken mentioned. But government "leading people to safety"? That's the promise - one that government cannot deliver on 24/7/365. Instead, it disarms its citizenry and does its dead-level best to convince them that they're not qualified to defend themselves.

In the mean time, it offers images like this:



Doesn't that make you feel safer? Hey, kids, let's do the same thing here! After all, the (nowhere near) Million Moms chanted "England can do it, Australia can do it, we can too!"

Not on my watch.

Tuesday, March 15, 2005

Pat Me on the Back, I'm Right Again!


(Y'know, that Ravenwood fella's pretty awesome! Another hat tip for the link.)

Remember that thesis-length piece I wrote, Why Ballistic Fingerprinting Doesn't (And Won't) Work? I concluded that piece as follows:
"It has simply failed in the Mission and Vision concepts originally established for the Program."

So in addition to being useless, it has the extra added bonus of being expensive. The MD-IBIS report also notes that New York's system has been equally successful (i.e., a complete failure) but it's cost New York taxpayers over eight million dollars so far. According to this link, the price is nearly $16 million. It would appear that throwing more money at the problem doesn't help.

So the reaction I expect? The philosophy cannot be wrong. Try it again, ONLY HARDER!!
Well, read this:
Gun program could be shot down
Maryland lawmakers consider ending signature ballistic fingerprinting system

By Sarah Abruzzese
Capital News Service

ANNAPOLIS -- Maryland's marquee ballistic fingerprinting program, which has cost the state $2.5 million to date, is imperiled by an unsupportive administration that has called for its end and zeroed out its budget.

A few years ago, the program that requires every new weapon sold in Maryland be ballistics tested and filed was heralded as state-of-the-art gun control. President Clinton watched then Gov. Parris N. Glendening sign the landmark Responsible Gun Act of 2000 into law.

Today, opponents say the system doesn't work due to faulty information, biased technicians and incompatibility with the federal ballistics system. It, they say, should be abolished.
No, opponents say the system doesn't work because the idea behind it is technically infeasable. It has nothing to do with "faulty information, biased technicians, nor incompatibility with the federal ballistics system." THE CONCEPT IS FLAWED AND CANNOT BE IMPLEMENTED FOR WHOLLY TECHNICAL REASONS, NOT IDEOLOGICAL ONES.

*Ahem* Sorry about the shouting.
Proponents say ballistic fingerprinting offers law enforcement a valuable tool for investigating crime.
Of course they do. Facts matter not a whit to them. The philosophy cannot be wrong!
Del. Neil F. Quinter, D-Howard, said the program needs to be given more time to fully develop.
But of course! We must hurl more good money after bad! The philosophy CANNOT BE WRONG!
It is still too early to see if the system that began operating in 2000 is effective, Quinter said, because there is a lag between a gun's purchase and when it is used in a crime -- 3 to 6.1 years.
Except they've tested the system against guns KNOWN TO BE IN THE DATABASE and IT FAILED TO IDENTIFY THEM. (But facts, once again, DON'T MATTER to these people. The PHILOSOPHY CANNOT BE WRONG!)
The sponsors said the purpose of the bill to kill the program is housekeeping.
Read: "We don't have the spine to stand up and tell these morons THE PHILOSOPHY IS WRONG!"
With no money in the budget to support the program, said Del. Joan D. Cadden, D-Anne Arundel, "The program is already dead. ... We need to pass the legislation so state police won't be breaking the law."

The ballistic fingerprinting system cost $1.4 million to set up and state police estimated it will cost $435,269 in fiscal year 2005.

Concerns

As a legislator, Maryland State Police Superintendent Col. Thomas E. Hutchins voted against Glendening's gun bill, even though he said he supported the ballistics testing component. Now he said the program should be cut.

The state's attorney for Prince George's County has a pending murder case where ballistics fingerprinting helped but he couldn't reveal details of the ongoing case.
Is that the one where the system "worked exactly backwards"? Where it was used not to identify a gun in the database (but not in police hands) as a crime gun, but matched a known or suspected crime gun that the police already had to a crime?

I wonder if that's why he can't "reveal the details."
"It has the potential to be equivalent to fingerprints and the DNA database," Glenn F. Ivey said. "You have to make sure you can reach a critical mass of data."
Mr. Ivey, you are a lying sonofabitch. It CANNOT be "equivalent to fingerprints and the DNA database, as I showed in excruciating detail. And that "critical mass of data"? That's newspeak for "every single firearm in existence."

Not gonna happen.
And there is a significant amount of data that could be put into the system, said a Baltimore City Police Department spokesman.

"Just to go by the number of shootings we have in the city," Officer Troy Harris said, "it would be thousands."

The state's ballistic database system has 43,729 casings and has had only 208 queries to date. Just six successful identifications have been made -- a reason opponents cite for dropping the program.

The state's DNA database, which has assisted in 224 investigations, took as long to bear fruit. Just two years ago it assisted in only 39 cases.

That DNA program, which began in 1994 and got its first hit in 1998, does work, the assistant director for the Maryland State Police Forensic Sciences Division said. The lag in effectiveness was blamed on federal changes that entailed a complete overhaul of the state's system.

Reliability is also a problem, said Teresa M. Long.

The state has found 222 test firings conducted by gun makers that were inaccurate, she said.

"If you were to investigate other instances you may find them suspect," Long said.

Technicians interpreting the data also have biases, she said.

That shouldn't be the case, said the vice president for Strategic Planning & Marketing for Forensic Technology, which sold the ballistic fingerprinting system to Maryland.

"The system needs to be nurtured," said Pete Gagliardi. "The system needs to be fed. It depends on people. Technology is just a tool. It is only useful if someone uses it."
Bullshit, bullshit, and more bullshit. It's not a "fingerprint," it's not "gun DNA," and calling it so won't make it so. But keep telling those lies! Someone will believe you, and they'll drag out a big checkbook!
Forensic Technology has supplied 234 systems in the United States, many of them part of National Integrated Ballistics Information Network and New York's system, which also has a ballistic fingerprinting program similar to Maryland's.
Yes, and as they fail to mention, New York's has cost far more, and been equally useless. Wonder why they left that out?
When he learned Friday of the state's problem with biased information, Gagliardi offered to retrain the users -- for free.
So now they want to base the problems on "technician bias"? I thought the system was supposed to be automated? How "biased" can an operator be when his job is to take pictures of fired cases, and then look at the "hits" the system generates? I smell more evasive bullshit.
Opposition

Gun advocates see the situation as a vindication of their opposition to the program.
"Gun advocates." Not gun RIGHTS advocates, but just "gun advocates." Nope, no bias there!
"When ballistic fingerprinting was implemented," the National Rifle Association of America's State Liaison Jennifer H. Palmer said, "the NRA said it was a waste of time, money and resources. ... It doesn't work, it's ineffective."

A gun store owner from Baltimore said ballistic fingerprints can easily be changed and that the system only comes up with matches that eliminate guns, not positively identify them.

"This is not DNA," said Sanford Abrams. "This is not fingerprinting."

Gun owners on the Lower Shore also continue to be leery of the measure.

"If we were seeing some good results, I wouldn't have that much of problem with it," said Franklin Emerson of Pocomoke City. "But right now, it just seems to be a drag on our money and manpower."

Proponents of ballistic testing say Maryland's problem with the system is poor implementation of procedures.
Of course they do! No mention of California's two Ballistic Imaging reports, no discussion of New York's abject failure. The philosophy cannot be wrong!, It must be improper implementation!

Classic cognitive dissonance.
The Coalition to Stop Gun Violence wants Maryland to work to connect its system with the federal one so testing could be done statewide. Maryland's system differs from the federal one, which collects ballistic information from crimes.

There are simple remedies to the problems the state police are reporting, the coalition's executive director said.
"For every problem there is a solution that is simple, obvious, and wrong." - Attributed to a lot of different people, but no less true for that.
"These are minor issues you can easily overcome with a well-thought-out work plan," said Joshua Horowitz.
But I thought the Ballistic Fingerprinting System was a "well-thought-out-plan," and it failed. So try again, only harder?
Doug Kramer of Salisbury agreed, saying the system needs to be refined more before it is complete shelved.
Yup, "Try again, only HARDER!"
"I just feel like it got thrown out there too quickly," he said.
"The philosophy CANNOT BE WRONG!
The Senate Judicial Proceedings Committee, which heard testimony on one bill to eliminate the program on March 1, has not set a date for a vote.

No vote has been set for the bill in the House Judiciary Committee, which heard testimony Wednesday. Committee members appear divided on whether to scrap the system.

"It's confusing," said Del. Luiz Simmons, D-Montgomery. "Opponents and proponents have their own set of facts."
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not to their own facts." - Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan
"I think that repealing the bill, if it does not deserve to be repealed," Simmons said, "merely ratifies bad policy and bad administration."
Try again, ONLY HARDER!!!

It never stops.

I hope like hell Delegate Cadden is correct and the program is well and truly dead, but I smell a zombie rising here.

Sunday, January 07, 2007

I'm Finished with THIS Particular Windmill...


Dr. Kelly (see The Other Side, and Tilting at Windmills) has responded once again with a short paragraph:
Kevin, you are a bright individual and I respect your opinions. I would add the following:1) I need only one. Sometimes two scalpels only. More is wasteful and allows the sharp object to manifest in the wrong hands or cause injury. 2)Guns kill, while baseball bats and clubs injure and are easier to treat. 3) we are not going to solve societal ills overnite but can we agree that kids should not have access to deadly weapons so that they can ‘act out’ their conflicts in mortal ways. There remains too many guns on the streets and I am open to any solutions.
Again, I'm short (for me) on the reply:
Dr. Kelly:

Thanks for the replies, but no, I don't think you really respect my opinions. I've provided three detailed replies to you, and all you respond with is platitudes. I appreciate that you want to save lives, but - as I noted before - you seem convinced that "gun control" is not only an answer, but the only answer. I've illustrated (with examples!) that "gun control" is a failure in that regard, and you brush it off. This is the semantic equivalent of putting one's fingers in one's ears and saying "la-la-la-I can't hear you!"

This is not respecting an opinion. It's ignoring it outright.

Certainly we're not going to solve societal ills overnight, but if you want to solve the problem of Philadelphia's youth killing each other, solving societal ills is what you're going to have to do no matter how long it takes. I have no problems with kids having access to deadly weapons, so long as they belong to the right "gun culture." I and pretty much everyone I grew up with "had access," and we didn't kill or even wound each other. I'd say the same is true for the vast majority of Pennsylvania's youth. It's only in Philadelphia and other "inner city" areas that the wrong "gun culture" exists. The problem isn't the guns, Doctor, it's the culture those kids live in. The problem you refuse to acknowledge is that there is no way "gun control" can keep guns out of their hands. "Gun control" is the be-all and end-all of your "solution," yet we know from experience that it's not achievable. But thinking that it is achievable sure is easier than attempting to solve those societal ills, isn't it?

You're not open to "any solution," you're only open to solutions that "reduce the number of guns." Well you might be able to do that, but what happens when it doesn't reduce the number of killings? Try again, only harder?


I've actually studied the history and efficacy of gun control, Dr. Kelly, since 1994. That's something I imagine you've been too busy to do. I pointed you to one study commissioned by the Clinton administration and just recently released by the National Academies of Science. The conclusion of that body, after examining all of the studies available up to the present was that gun control hasn't measureably affected gun crime or suicide by gun. This repeats a study done more than twenty years previously, commissioned by the Carter administration in 1978 and published in 1983 as Under the Gun: Weapons, Crime and Violence in America. Let me quote from the conclusion to that volume:
The progressive's indictment of American firearms policy is well known and is one that both the senior authors of this study once shared. This indictment includes the following particulars: (1) Guns are involved in an astonishing number of crimes in this country. (2) In other countries with stricter firearms laws and fewer guns in private hands, gun crime is rare. (3) Most of the firearms involved in crime are cheap Saturday Night Specials, for which no legitimate use or need exists. (4) Many families acquire such a gun because they feel the need to protect themselves; eventually they end up shooting one another. (5) If there were fewer guns around, there would obviously be less crime. (6) Most of the public also believes this and has favored stricter gun control laws for as long as anyone has asked the question. (7) Only the gun lobby prevents us from embarking on the road to a safer and more civilized society.

The more deeply we have explored the empirical implications of this indictment, the less plausible it has become. We wonder, first, given the number of firearms presently available in the United States, whether the time to "do something" about them has not long since passed. If we take the highest plausible value for the total number of gun incidents in any given year - 1,000,000 - and the lowest plausible value for the total number of firearms now in private hands - 100,000,000 - we see rather quickly that the guns now owned exceed the annual incident count by a factor of at least 100. This means that the existing stock is adequate to supply all conceivable criminal purposes for at least the entire next century, even if the worldwide manufacture of new guns were halted today and if each presently owned firearm were used criminally once and only once. Short of an outright house-to-house search and seizure mission, just how are we going to achieve some significant reduction in the number of firearms available? (Pp. 319-320)
In 1978, when this study was performed, the authors estimated that 120 million firearms were in private hands in America. That number has almost tripled today.

Yet you still cling to "gun control" as the answer to a problem that has existed since before the turn of the century.

Thank you for your time, Doctor, but I'm done with you now. You won't listen, and you refuse to think.
I forgot to add: "And thank you for serving as a perfect example of type."

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Do it Again, Only HARDER

Do it Again, Only HARDER

Sebastian has a very interesting British Public Service advertisement on his blog. His reaction:
You'd almost think the laws were ineffective, and only resulted in criminals having guns. Nah! Can't be. That's crazy talk!
Or, as Uncle puts it, "That's unpossible!"

Here are two screenshots from near the end of the piece that say it all, now eleven years after the UK banned all handguns:


They admit that banning legally-owned firearms has failed. But the philosophy cannot be wrong!

The answer? DISARM BRITAIN!

Wait... I thought the handgun ban was supposed to do that...?

I left this comment at this blog post there. I doubt seriously it will make it through moderation:

OF COURSE “these laws don’t seem to matter.”

Are any of you familiar with the concept of “cognitive dissonance”? Here’s an excellent definition:

“When someone tries to use a strategy which is dictated by their ideology, and that strategy doesn’t seem to work, then they are caught in something of a cognitive bind. If they acknowledge the failure of the strategy, then they would be forced to question their ideology. If questioning the ideology is unthinkable, then the only possible conclusion is that the strategy failed because it wasn’t executed sufficiently well. They respond by turning up the power, rather than by considering alternatives. (This is sometimes referred to as ‘escalation of failure’.)”

You’ve TRIED “disarming Britain,” and you’ve FAILED. Al you’ve done is disarm your victims and made them fearful of the consequences of defending themselves. Your ideology says “Violence is bad. Weapons are at fault. Remove the weapons and the violence will go away.” The ideology is FLAWED. But you’ve tried to follow the logic of the ideology, and it has failed. Since the ideology cannot be wrong, you keep turning up the power, and escalating the failure.

What you’ve lost is the understanding that there is a difference between “violent and predatory” and “violent but defensive.” Instead, you see only “violent.”

Human predators exist. A brick, a pipe, a chisel, a bottle - broken or not - can be a weapon in the hands of someone willing to use it. Knowing that their prey will be defenseless merely encourages them. How many of you avoid even looking at a hoodie-wearing chav on a bus or riding the tube, afraid that they might find an interest in YOU?

If any of you still have an open mind on the subject, read this. All three parts.

No wonder Brits are emigrating en mass.

UPDATE: Needless to say, my comment wasn't approved. So I sent the blog authors, Natalie Harrison and Kyle MacRae an email directing them to this post and asking them "why not?"
Nat, Kyle:

I visited your website, "Disarming Britain" yesterday and read several of the posts after one of your adverts was posted to a web site I frequent. I left a comment on the post in question, "Knives and the Law" which was held for moderation.

It appears it didn't pass muster.

I posted my entire comment, with a link to your site, at my own blog. I was wondering if you could tell me just what was it about my comment that got it rejected?

Thank you for your attention.

Kevin
Further updates as events warrant.

Sunday, October 23, 2005

Words Mean Things...

You want to know one reason Chicago keeps trading places with Washington D.C. for "murder capital of the U.S."? Reader Fabio from England emailed me this link to the City of Chicago's Gun Safety/Violence Reduction page, and here is what it says:
The principal cause of violent crime in the City of Chicago is the use of firearms by criminal street gangs. Although Chicago has among the toughest gun control laws in the country, street gangs have been able to arm themselves with increasingly deadly firearms with little apparent problem. Although Congress and the Administration appear unwilling to make further gun safety legislation a high priority, the City urges increased attention to these issues in Washington.

The City remains deeply concerned about a last minute provision enacted as part of the FY03 Omnibus Appropriations bill that derailed the City’s Supreme Court argument regarding the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (BATF) restricting the availability of public information for litigation purposes. Furthermore, Congress has included other last minute provisions in the FY04 Omnibus Appropriations bill that put in place additional limitations on BATF’s accountability for, and ability to collect and distribute, what should otherwise be public information on firearms purchases. In addition, Congress is considering legislation to provide unprecedented limits on liability focused solely on the firearms industry. These enormously misguided efforts are a direct threat to general public safety and will greatly undermine the efforts of state and local governments to combat illegal firearms trafficking.
Let's parse this, shall we?
The principal cause of violent crime in the City of Chicago is the use of firearms by criminal street gangs.
Bang! (No pun intended.) Right out of the gate we have an outright falsehood. The principal cause of violent crime is the use of firearms. Um, what?

No, the principal crime IS the improper, illegal use of firearms. (Since the City of Chicago prohibits the use of firearms for legitimate self-defense, that's about the only kind of firearm use you're going to see there.) The CAUSE of this is something else entirely. But I have absolutely no doubt that the powers-that-be see the situation precisely as that first sentence is written. The cause to them is the "use of firearms." That makes the solution simple, no?

Eliminate the firearms and the "cause" is eliminated.

And here we have a textbook example of my favorite gun-control meme, "cognitive dissonance" - described most eloquently by Steven Den Beste:
When someone tries to use a strategy which is dictated by their ideology, and that strategy doesn't seem to work, then they are caught in something of a cognitive bind. If they acknowledge the failure of the strategy, then they would be forced to question their ideology. If questioning the ideology is unthinkable, then the only possible conclusion is that the strategy failed because it wasn't executed sufficiently well. They respond by turning up the power, rather than by considering alternatives. (This is sometimes referred to as "escalation of failure".)
Or as I put it, "Do it again, only harder! To wit:
Although Chicago has among the toughest gun control laws in the country, street gangs have been able to arm themselves with increasingly deadly firearms with little apparent problem.
In other words, "Our efforts to control the cause of violent crime, have failed. But the ideology cannot be wrong! The only possible conclusion is that the strategy failed because it wasn't executed sufficiently well, so..."
Although Congress and the Administration appear unwilling to make further gun safety legislation a high priority, the City urges increased attention to these issues in Washington.
"We must try again only harder!" (And note the use of the phrase "gun safety" and not "gun control" - though we are told endlessly that "gun safety" isn't "gun control.") And since they cannot acheive the ends their philosophy dictates through legislation, they must then pursue it through the courts:
The City remains deeply concerned about a last minute provision enacted as part of the FY03 Omnibus Appropriations bill that derailed the City’s Supreme Court argument regarding the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (BATF) restricting the availability of public information for litigation purposes.
I'll bet the City of Chicago will be joining the Brady Center in its legal challenge to the recently passed Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act, since it shuts down the nuisance lawsuits Chicago and other cities have been pursuing. They say as much in the last two sentences:
In addition, Congress is considering legislation to provide unprecedented limits on liability focused solely on the firearms industry. These enormously misguided efforts are a direct threat to general public safety and will greatly undermine the efforts of state and local governments to combat illegal firearms trafficking.
Efforts pursued thorough tort law, not legislation. But on top of that, read this again:
Furthermore, Congress has included other last minute provisions in the FY04 Omnibus Appropriations bill that put in place additional limitations on BATF’s accountability for, and ability to collect and distribute, what should otherwise be public information on firearms purchases.
No, I don't think so. While the BATF has been moved from the Treasury Department to the Department of Justice, the BATF is still a tax collection agency. The information the BATF gathers isn't "public information," it's protected tax information, as the state of California recently learned to its displeasure when charges against licensed FFL dealer Andy Sun were thrown out when the judge determined the search warrant was obtained based on "protected information" obtained from the BATF:
(Judge Frank P.) Briseno ruled that the search warrant was based on mandatory information Sun was required to submit to the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives during an administrative inspection.
Not public information - protected information.

So it appears that the City of Chicago is quite willing to break Federal law to achieve its ends. My only question is this: Why doesn't Chicago look around the rest of the country and figure out why its violent crime rate is so much higher than other cities of similar size that don't have "the toughest gun control laws in the country"?

Oh, right. Because the philosophy cannot be wrong!

Fabio concluded in his email to me, "They don't get it and never will." Sadly, I'm pretty sure he's right.

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Like Water Off a Duck's Back

Say Uncle pointed to a Chicago Sun-Times op-ed yesterday by columnist and journalism professor Laura Washington. I won't reproduce the whole piece, but here's a taste:
Gun lovers disarm control advocates

August 27, 2007
LAURA WASHINGTON Sun-Times columnist


It looks like the petulant, gun-toting NRA stalwarts have won the first round.

Last time, I used this space to ask where you stand on the issue of gun control. A torrent of e-mails later, it's clear: Gun-control advocates were outgunned, four to one.

The gun lovers were legion, robust and vitriolic. Many of you told me to go places where the sun doesn't shine and the temperature is way too hot. Yet, if you believe public opinion polls, that reaction is an anomaly. For instance, last April, ABC News polled adults nationwide, and asked: "Do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country?" Sixty-one percent favored them, 36 percent were opposed, and 3 percent were "unsure."

CBS News asked, "In general, do you feel the laws covering the sale of handguns should be made more strict, less strict, or kept as they are now?" Two-thirds of respondents nationwide opted for "more strict."

What is the problem with the advocates of gun control? Why are their voices not being heard? They are consistently cowed and overmatched. Gun violence is out of control, yet the gun lovers are ascendant.

You think we've got problems now? Just listen to Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor and Republican presidential aspirant. At a recent Conservative Political Action Conference, he bragged, "I'm not a newcomer to the NRA," the New York Times reported on its political blog. "I was the first governor to have a conceal-carry permit, so don't mess with me."

Huckabee, mind you, recently made a flashy second-place showing in the Iowa presidential straw poll.

Do you want to be standing in line for gas, popcorn or a gallon of milk and find yourself next to someone who's packing heat? If he takes the White House, we can all go shopping for embossed leather holsters and pearl-handled pistols. I'll be looking to accessorize that with rhinestone-studded boots.
You know, the usual Reasoned Discourse™ we've come to expect from our opposition. Please, RTWT. (And yes, I do know about the Zogby poll.)

Instead of fisking her piece, I thought I'd drop her a nice email (and copy the paper's letters-to-the-editor while I was at it. What the hell, worth a shot.) Here's what I sent:
Ms. Washington:

I read with interest your op-ed in the online edition of the Sun-Times, and I had some comments to make. I hope that you will see this epistle in the volume of email I am sure has been forthcoming since your little jeremiad was published. Provoking an outpour of response was, I am sure, one of your intentions. Let me apologize in advance (though it is not really my place) for those who will shower you with invective and vitriol. We on the side of the right to arms have been fighting against a decades-long slow-motion hate crime,1 and it tends to wear on our patience. I understand such responses, but I cannot countenance them.

I am eternally fascinated by people who see themselves as "gun control advocates." I find them fascinating because they epitomize to me the phrase "cognitive dissonance." The fact that you write from Chicago, one of the epicenters of "common-sense gun control" only adds to my fascination.

Cognitive dissonance has been defined thus:

"When someone tries to use a strategy which is dictated by their ideology, and that strategy doesn't seem to work, then they are caught in something of a cognitive bind. If they acknowledge the failure of the strategy, then they would be forced to question their ideology. If questioning the ideology is unthinkable, then the only possible conclusion is that the strategy failed because it wasn't executed sufficiently well. They respond by turning up the power, rather than by considering alternatives. (This is sometimes referred to as 'escalation of failure'.)"2

Or, as I phrase it, "The philosophy cannot be wrong! Do it again, only harder!" We see this behavior in gun control advocates all the time. There's always a "loophole" to blame. Always a "next step." But "gun control" never improves crime rates, never reduces homicide rates. Never. Gun control advocates always - without exception - predict "blood in the streets" and "wild West shootouts" when "shall issue" concealed-carry legislation makes progress in state legislatures, but this never happens. Never. Somehow this data fails to make a dent in the "gun control" mindset. The strategy constantly fails, but the ideology cannot be questioned. Do it again, only harder!

Ms. Washington, you note in your piece: "(I)t seems the gun control advocates have been outmatched. Abigail Spangler acknowledges as much. Spangler is the founder of ProtestEasyGuns.com, a Virginia-based group that has been spearheading a slew of anti-gun protests around the nation.

"Gun control activists, she wrote me, 'are TRYING HARD but they are seriously affected in state after state by lack of funding and contributions." She recently met, she says, with the leader of Virginia's only gun control group. "He says they may not even be able to afford any lobbyist at all soon in Virginia!'"

Ms. Washington, the citizenry will offer an opinion to anyone. Opinions are free. But activism costs money - and the anti-gun side has shown that the hearts and wallets of the general public are not really into it. Ask any hundred random people on the street if they favor stricter gun laws and most likely the majority will say "yes." Ask them what the current gun laws are, and they won't be able to tell you. Gun rights activists can. The gun control side of the argument has been supported for decades with money from foundations, perhaps the largest contributor being the Joyce Foundation. Look them up. Those of us who believe in the right to arms are the true grass-rooters, and there are far more of us than the mere four million that the NRA claims as members. As someone once put it so pithily: "Poor Lefties; they've been playing on astroturf so long that they don't know grassroots even when fed a mouthful of divot." 3

Ms. Washington, our side is winning because we can see reality. We are not blinded to a flawed ideology. The ideology you operate under is expressed best as "Guns are baaad, mmmmkay?" This ideology springs from an inability or unwillingness to see a difference between "violent and predatory" and "violent but protective." You see only "violence" and violence offends you. From this inability you mistake the tools of violence to be the cause of violence, and from that error comes the desire to eradicate the tools. But this does not address the actual cause. In other words, "Gun control is what you do instead of something."4

When disaster strikes and civil society breaks down, when the government proves unmistakably that it cannot protect everyone, everywhere, all the time, then some people have an awakening - and they go to a gun store or a Wal-Mart and try to buy a gun.

And that's when they discover just what the gun laws really are.

And many become gun-rights activists because, as one woman put it when she found out she had to wait a week for a gun while being stalked by an ex-boyfriend, "I've been against guns and violence my whole life."5 She and those like her were responsible for that interminable week wait. She finally understood the difference between "violent and predatory" and "violent but protective," and wanted protection - which the law denied her for a full week.

Some of us are "gun lovers," Ms. Washington. I am, unashamedly. But many, many more simply want to be able to choose how to defend ourselves. That is a choice you wish to deny us out of a belief in a flawed ideology that you cannot bring yourselves to recognize.

I'd love to discuss this topic with you further, but I seriously doubt you've bothered to read this far.

Thank you for your attention, however much of it I was able to garner.
(Footnotes not in original).

Somewhat to my surprise, she replied:
Dear Mr. Baker,

Thanks for your comments on the gun control column. I appreciate you taking the time to share your thoughts.

Be consoled that you are winning the battle. And yes, I did read your entire letter.

Best, Laura

=================================================================
Laura S. Washington
Ida B. Wells-Barnett University Professor
DePaul University
Contributing Columnist, Chicago Sun-Times
Senior Editor, In These Times
The fact that she responded was surprising. The content was not.

I sent her a short reply:
Dear Laura:

Thank you for your gracious reply, and for taking the time our of your obviously busy schedule to read my missive.

Water off a duck's back, eh?

My sincere condolences,

Kevin
But wait! There's more! Phelps had a beautiful response of his own that I hope he sent to her. I urge you not to miss it.

Footnotes:
1Dr. Michael S. Brown
2Steven Den Beste
3Tamara K
4Say Uncle
5Seraphic Secret
Credit where credit is due.

UPDATE: Commenter Kevin P. notes that he maintains (an EXCELLENT) Wikipedia page on the Joyce Foundation and their funding efforts. Way to go, Kevin!

Thursday, May 27, 2004

Bet Your Ass That "Radically Overhauled" Does Not Mean "Repealed"


It seems that the Brits, in that land of gun control utopia, have decided that their gun laws just aren't quite up to snuff.
Gun legislation 'faces overhaul'

The UK's gun laws are to be radically overhauled under proposals announced by the Home Office.

It has launched a comprehensive review of legislation in a consultation paper.

A total of £2m worth of criminals' recovered assets will be spent on helping communities tackle gun crime and gun culture.
"Let's see... We've made all semi-automatic long guns illegal, we've made all handguns illegal, we require draconian measures for subjects to legally possess what little is left over, we've managed to reduce the total number of people holding firearm certificates each and every year for the last decade at least. But it hasn't reduced firearm involved crime at all? In fact, firearm involved crime has only gone up?

"What shall we do now, in the face of this apparent failure of policy?

"I know! Let's do it some more, ONLY HARDER!"

And I see they're using asset forfeiture over there as well. I wonder if the English at least need a conviction first?
However, the government has ruled out a wholesale ban on imitation firearms, saying it was too difficult to find a legal definition for replicas.

Home Office figures showed that firearm offences in England and Wales have risen from 13,874 in 1998-99 to 24,070 in 2002-03.
And what kind of levels were they at in the 1950's when this crap really got started?
The number of recorded crimes involving imitation weapons has tripled from 566 to 1,815 during that period.
Leaving, let's see... carry the one... 22,255 recorded firearm offenses that didn't involve imitation weapons, more than 92%!

And bear in mind, the problem with the Brocock guns that got them banned was that they were converted to fire live ammo - making them REAL firearms, just like a zipgun is a REAL firearm.
The consultation paper, published on Wednesday, said: "It has proved difficult to find a workable legal definition of an imitation firearm and we do not believe that the level of effort required by agencies to administer additional restrictions is offset by public safety gains."
It would seem apparent that the "level of effort required" to collect and destroy all the legally registered semi-auto rifles and shotguns in 1988, and all the legally registered handguns in 1996 was not offset by "public safety gains" now wouldn't it?
Home Office minister Caroline Flint said: "I can't envisage a wholesale ban on imitation and replica firearms".
Well, Minister, I'd say that in your job that indicates a failure of imagination not shared by many of your peers.
She added that the UK's complex firearms legislation needed to be re-examined.

"We need to prevent guns getting into the wrong hands while allowing legitimate shooters to pursue their sport without danger to public safety".
That's refreshing to hear! At least a decade too late, though, don't you think?
A further £250,000 would be given to small community organisations tackling gun crime, "which blights too many of our neighbourhoods", Ms Flint said.

There was "a huge will across the country to make our streets safer", she added.

"The active engagement of communities is vital to tackle gun crime."
Kind of a shock to find that stripping the legal gun owners didn't just clear the problem right up, eh?
Routinely armed

A report by Her Majesty's Inspectorate of Constabulary (HMIC), also published on Wednesday, calls for greater national co-ordination between police forces to prevent gun crime.

Assistant Inspector of Constabulary Tim Hollis said: "There is statistical evidence that firearms incidents are increasing, and we should not be complacent."

The report praises police officers skill and professionalism in resolving firearms incidents.
Yes, like the incident where they killed the unarmed naked man, and the one where they killed the poor guy bringing home a table leg in a plastic bag.

I'm not going to be too harsh on them. Cops are in a bad spot when it comes to defending themselves against possibly armed opponents. They are introduced into situations where they don't know what exactly is going on or who the bad guy might be. But this is not the situation for most armed citizens. When faced with a threat, it's pretty damned apparent who the bad guys are.
But Mr Hollis added: "We do not believe that the police should be routinely armed.

"Of greater importance is the level of experience, training and knowledge of police officers and recognition of the fact that the deployment of armed officers is only a partial - albeit important - part of the solution."
Meanwhile, I expect incidents in which unarmed officers are threatened or shot to rise.
Mr Hollis added: "We were encouraged to find that at the local level a number of forces had developed positive initiatives to combat gun crime."

Ms Flint said the HMIC report was "timely and helpful".

"Specialist teams such as Operation Trident have shown that expertise gets results, not just in bringing criminals to justice but in challenging gun culture and actually preventing violence in the first place," she added.
Yet firearm involved crime continues to rise, requiring a "radical overhaul" of existing gun laws, right?

The philosophy CANNOT BE WRONG! Do it again. Only harder.

Sheesh.

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Gun Control

So the most recent attempt at "gun control" legislation died in the Senate to the lamentations of the Left and the media (but I repeat myself).  Claims that "90%" of the populace supported "universal background checks" and that this legislation "might have prevented the next" rampage shooting have been thrown around, but as Senator Mike Lee put in his recent op-ed Why I Voted Against Background Checks:
Gun-control advocates point to polls that show support for expanding background checks. But members of Congress do not get to vote on broad poll questions. They have to vote on specific legislation.
As I have said in the past, when gun control laws go on a ballot they most often lose, and usually badly.  ("Yes, I support more effective gun control, but not THAT!").  And that is in the popular vote, not in the houses of Congress.

It was apparent to anyone who looked that this legislation would have had no effect on the Sandy Hook massacre, yet it was the families of the victims of that slaughter that were trotted out in an attempt to force legislators to vote the way the President wanted, an outright appeal to emotion defeating reason, implying that voting against it would make one an accomplice to the next such event.

This essay is inspired in part by perennial gadfly Markadelphia, who in a comment thread raised a couple of points I'd like to expand upon. First:
If everyone had supported this bill, the cry for action would have died down considerably.
Of course it would, until the next mass shooting.  Whereupon, emboldened by their success in this case, additional legislation would be passed to help "prevent the next" mass shooting that this legislation failed to prevent.
There would have been virtually no chance for a new AWB or ammo clip limit.
See above. 

You see, we've seen this strategy employed successfully in England. A heinous act committed with firearms, followed by legislation that either had nothing to do with that act, or would have had no effect in preventing that act. But it was seen as DOING SOMETHING.  It was promoted as "doing something."  As Say Uncle puts it, Gun Control: What you do instead of something.  But it's not.  It's something else.
Yet with nothing being done, the next shooting will almost certainly bring more support and voters to the side of the Diane Feinstein's[sic] and Michael Bloomberg's[sic] of the world.
No, I don't think so. Twenty dead children didn't do it.  Newtown, Connecticut was not Dunblane, Scotland.

Why not?

Because enough people now refuse to take the blame for something we didn't do that we're politically powerful.  We refuse to be shamed.  We reject shaming.  And as Instapundit put it recently,
It’s pretty irritating, being shamed by people who have none themselves.
Word.

And in this battle, numbers count. Democracy, don't you know.  And democracy works for those who show up.

There is a poll on the right sidebar of that Mike Lee op-ed, asking readers whether they strongly agree, agree, don't know, disagree or strongly disagree with the Senator's piece. At the time of this writing, 55% agree, with 43% strongly agreeing. Only 36% percent strongly disagree. A similar poll on another op-ed supporting magazine size restrictions shows 74% in opposition to the editorial.  Of the people who feel strongly enough to read or at least vote on these op-eds, those who support the right to keep and bear arms are in the significant majority.  Supposedly 90% of the populace supports universal background checks? Well, according to a Gallup poll taken after the Sandy Hook massacre, Only 4% of Americans Think Gun Control is an Important Problem. Other current polling indicates that 51% of people now believe a gun in the home increases safety, with only 29% saying it makes a home more dangerous.

Politicians know who votes. Gun owners vote.
The reality is that the NRA doesn't really give a crap about the second amendment anymore. They see the shrinking number of people buying guns (even though that smaller percentage are buying more guns) and know that any sort of increased background check system is going to be mean  because some of those people will fail.
There's two parts to this I want to address. First, the assertion that there's a "shrinking number of people buying guns." Kathy Jackson (The Cornered Cat) wrote on her Facebook page recently:
"The greatest pleasure in life is to do what people say you cannot do." – Walter Bagehot

Last year, I sat at a bar with a friend and listened to a friend list a dozen very logical, well-explained reasons why I'd never be able to fill serious training classes with female shooters alone, or build a business based on that model, or get any respect for teaching women's classes only.

This year, I have a completely full calendar with fully-filled classes all over the country, most of them for women only.

Life is sweet.
And Kathy is not alone.  Does that sound like a "shrinking number of people" getting into firearms? I don't know about anyone else, but I have added on average 2.5 firearms per year to my collection for the last several years. (I know, I know, but I can't afford one-gun-a-month.)  With the economy the way it's been, I certainly haven't been buying in bulk.  But I and people I know have been reporting a lot of newbies buying guns and showing up at the range. The National Instant Check System (the "background check" that supposedly this bill was to strengthen) reports record usage, having "nearly doubled in the past decade." Markadelphia, the New York Times and CNN would have you believe that a shrinking demographic is spending more than double what it used to, apparently building arsenals. I don't think so, and I've said why before.

In fact, after Sandy Hook you can't find much on the shelves in gun stores anywhere in the country, only this time ammo is harder to find than firearms.  (.22 Rimfire?  Seriously?)  Yet violent crime and especially violent crime involving firearms has declined pretty steadily to levels not seen since the 1960's, so it has become obvious to anyone who looks that more guns do not equal more crime.  Add to that the spread of concealed-carry legislation that was predicted to bring "blood in the streets" in every state where it was proposed.  Instead the worst accusation that can be made is that concealed-carry might not have contributed to the overall decline in violent crime. In view of these facts you can begin to understand why "gun control" is off the radar even for many people who don't own them.  Add to that Sept. 11, 2001 and other events, and it becomes apparent why more people are buying them. But that goes against The Narrative.

The second assertion is that "any sort of increased background check system is going to be[sic] mean less gun sales because some of those people will fail."  This is a two-parter also.  First, let's look at the NICS system and its history.   Markadelphia says in another comment in that thread:
As I said above, the real problem is the ongoing violence that is non-spree related.
Oh, really? Well first let's look at how the NICS system has been used since it was implemented following the 1994 Assault Weapon Ban (that wasn't - but was a "good first step.") The NICS system began operation in November 1998, touted as a tool that would help keep guns out of the hands of criminals. In the interim, background checks were handled at the state level. A Department of Justice report on the system for the year 2010 was published in 2012, entitled Enforcement of the Brady Act, 2010: Federal and State Investigations and Prosecutions of Firearm Applicants Denied by a NICS Check in 2010 (a PDF file). Pertinent excerpts:
The FBI conducted over six million NICS transfer checks in 2010 and denied over 72,000 applications, a denial rate of about 1%. The most common reason for denial by the FBI was a record of a felony indictment or conviction (over 47%), followed by fugitives from justice (19%), and state law prohibitions (about 11%) Other reasons included drug use or addiction (about 10%), domestic violence misdemeanor convictions (over 6%), and domestic violence restraining orders (over 4%)
(My emphasis.)  So, of 72,000 denials, 97% were for things that falsely filling out the BATFE Form 4473 meant that the person denied had put his or her signature on a confession to a felony that comes with a 5-year sentence.
The DENI (ATF’s Denial Enforcement and NICS Intelligence) Branch screened 76,142 NICS denials received from the FBI during 2010, and referred 4,732 denials (approximately 6%) within the established guidelines to field divisions. The referred cases were made up of 2,265 delayed denials (3% of all denials) and 2,467 standard denials (over 3%). The remaining denials (71,410, or nearly 94%) did not meet referral guidelines or were overturned or canceled. Overturns occurred after review by the DENI Branch or after the FBI received additional information. The FBI canceled a small number of denials in cases where a NICS check should not have been conducted.

--

Field offices declined to refer 4,184 cases for prosecution. The most common reasons for declinations were no prosecutive merit (1,661 cases or almost 40%), federal or state guidelines were not met (1,092 cases or 26%), and subjects found to not be prohibited (480 cases or about 12%).

Other reasons for declination by a field office included closure by a supervisor (457 or 11%) and no potential or unfounded (396 cases or about 10%).

--

A total of 62 Federal charges from the 2010 cases were referred by field offices for consideration by prosecutors.

--

Of the 62 charges referred from the 2010 cases, 18 (29%) had been declined by a prosecutor as of December 13, 2011. A guilty plea was obtained on 13 charges (about 21%) and 10 charges (about 16%) were dismissed as part of a plea agreement . Twelve charges (approximately 19%) were still pending action by a prosecutor as of December 13, 2011.
(Again, my emphasis.)  So out of 76,142 denials in 2010, a year in which the data that USAToday says produced 14.4 million background checks, not "over six million" (though 14.4 is greater than six), sixty-two violators were referred for prosecution.  That's (carry the three...) 0.5% of all background checks resulting in denials, and 0.08% of the denials referred for prosecution.  And not all referrals yielded a sentence.  Eighteen (29%) weren't prosecuted.   Nearly half ("47%") of the 76,142 denials were due to a "record of a felony indictment or conviction."  Now, either those records are severely screwed up, or a LOT of felons signed their names to a confession...and just walked away scot-free.  (Bear in mind, I'm not at all happy about what qualifies as a "felony" these days, but still....)

The Brady Campaign report Brady Background Check:  15 Years of Saving Lives (PDF) proclaims that over that 15 year period through 2008 the background check "blocked" 1,631,000 purchases, but the DoJ report states that from 2006 through 2010 a total of only 209 guilty pleas or guilty verdicts were recorded due to background check prosecutions.  Moreover, the "referrals for prosecution" declined from 273 in 2006 to 62 in 2010. 

"So what?" you may ask.  Well, if the prohibited person wasn't put in jail, what was to stop him or her from getting a gun some other way?  I mean, if we're not even willing to imprison the stupid felons, what's the point?  It's as though the DoJ didn't want the background system to do the job we were told it was created to do.  And if a Federal program fails, what is the inevitable result of that failure?  Do It Again, ONLY HARDER

UPDATE: John Lott looks at background check denials and concludes that the records ARE severely screwed up.  Which makes my next point more likely:

But what if the purpose of the background check system isn't to keep guns out of the hands of criminals?  Then what is it for?  What if its actual purpose is "less gun sales"?  Each year we've added well in excess of four million new or imported old guns to those already in circulation, bringing the total in private hands to somewhere in excess of 310 million by one recent estimate. (PDF) Well, obviously it's failed there too, and thus: Do It Again, ONLY HARDER!

And when Sandy Hook occurred, what was the proposed banner legislation?  Strengthened background checks!  (Along with the inevitable "assault weapon ban" and magazine restriction renewal, of course.) 

I concur totally that "the real problem is the ongoing violence that is non-spree related" which has been declining without new gun control laws, but apparently neither the government nor the "gun safety" groups do. Why do I say that? Well, instead of just taking them at their word, I observe their actions - with the exception of the Violence Policy Center which states plainly that its charter is the disarming of the American public.  If "the ongoing violence that is not spree-related" was what was being addressed, we wouldn't be having this argument.

It has been well documented for decades that the majority of violent crime up to and including homicide is committed by a small, identifiable population - people with prior police records of violent offenses:
* From 1990 to 2002, 18% of felony convictions in the 75 largest counties were for violent offenses, including 7% for assault and 6% for robbery.

* Six percent of those convicted of violent felonies were under age 18, and 25% were under age 21. Ten percent of murderers were under 18, and 30% were under 21.

* Thirty-six percent of violent felons had an active criminal justice status at the time of their arrest. This included 18% on probation, 12% on release pending disposition of a prior case, and 7% on parole.

* Seventy percent of violent felons had a prior arrest record, and 57% had at least one prior arrest for a felony. Sixty-seven percent of murderers and 73% of those convicted of robbery or assault had an arrest record.

* A majority (56%) of violent felons had a prior conviction record. Thirty-eight percent had a prior felony conviction and 15% had a previous conviction for a violent felony.

--

An estimated 70% of violent felons in the 75 largest counties had been arrested previously. Seventy-three percent of those convicted of robbery or assault had an arrest record, as did 67% of murderers, and 53% of rapists.

Sixty percent of violent felons had multiple prior arrest charges, including 40% with 5 or more, and 23% with 10 or more. About a fourth of those convicted of robbery (26%) or assault (24%)had 10 or more prior arrest charges, as did about a fifth of murderers (21%) and a tenth of rapists (10%).

A majority (57%) of violent felons had been arrested previously for a felony. The percentage with a felony arrest record ranged from 40% of rapists to 63% of robbers. Fifty-nine percent of those convicted of assault and 58% of those convicted of murder had at least one prior felony arrest.

Forty-four percent of violent felons had more than one prior felony arrest charge, and 22% had at least five.
Criminal violence is a behavior, but it's much easier to attack a physical object, a deodand, rather than face politically incorrect facts.  It's much safer to attack the law abiding gun owner in rural Arkansas or suburban Houston than Crips or Bloods in South Side Chicago, for example.

Yes, "the real problem is the ongoing violence that is non-spree related."  Like the 319 school-age children shot in gun-control haven Chicago between January 1 and June 15, 2011.  Twenty dead schoolchildren in Sandy Hook?  What about the 24 dead children in Chicago, where no one can legally own a handgun, much less an "assault weapon"?  Where everyone in Illinois who wants to legally own a gun must have a Firearms Owner ID (FOID) card.  How's that working out?  And bear in mind, criminals are legally exempt from registering their firearms because to do so would violate their Fifth Amendment protection against self-incrimination.

Apparently, dead children don't really matter to gun control supporters unless they're little white kids killed with an AR-15 or an AK-47.  I'm a racist for pointing this out, but I refuse to be shamed into ignoring it.

As noted, overall violent crime is down.  Homicide is at rates not seen since the 1960's, and where homicide does occur is largely in densely populated urban areas, mostly by a small, easily identifiable demographic.  All of this is in the face of a nationwide easing in the restrictions on firearms and their carriage.  If "the ongoing violence that is not spree related" was the concern, then the gun control forces should be pleased.  Instead they are desperate because "the ongoing violence that is not spree-related" isn't, in their minds, "the problem." 

Back in 2006 when I wrote The Other Side, I noted the single article of faith shared by all members of that Other Side™:

There are too many guns.

That's the single thing our side needs to keep in mind, the lens through which we need to analyze every action their side takes.  Because they concern themselves exclusively with "gun deaths" and "gun violence," the problem is too many guns.  From that perspective, it's a tautology:  fewer guns must mean fewer "gun deaths" and less "gun violence."   I've quoted this before, but it's appropriate once again - from the conclusion of the gun control study commissioned by the Carter Administration in 1978, published in 1983 and titled Under the Gun: Weapons, Crime, and Violence in America:
The progressive's indictment of American firearms policy is well known and is one that both the senior authors of this study once shared This indictment includes the following particulars: (1) Guns are involved in an astonishing number of crimes in this country. (2) In other countries with stricter firearms laws and fewer guns in private hands, gun crime is rare. (3) Most of the firearms involved in crime are cheap Saturday Night Specials, for which no legitimate use or need exists. [Still true. - Ed.] (4) Many families acquire such a gun because they feel the need to protect themselves; eventually they end up shooting one another. (5) If there were fewer guns around, there would obviously be less crime. (6) Most of the public also believes this and has favored stricter gun control laws for as long as anyone has asked the question. (7) Only the gun lobby prevents us from embarking on the road to a safer and more civilized society.

The more deeply we have explored the empirical implications of this indictment, the less plausible it has become.  We wonder, first, given the number of firearms presently available in the United States, whether the time to "do something" about them has not long since passed. If we take the highest plausible value for the total number of gun incidents in any given year - 1,000,000 - and the lowest plausible value for the total number of firearms now in private hands - 100,000,000 - we see rather quickly that the guns now owned exceed the annual incident count by a factor of at least 100. This means that the existing stock is adequate to supply all conceivable criminal purposes for at least the entire next century, even if the worldwide manufacture of new guns were halted today and if each presently owned firearm were used criminally once and only once. Short of an outright house-to-house search and seizure mission, just how are we going to achieve some significant reduction in the number of firearms available?

To members of the gun subculture who have been around guns all their lives and have owned and used guns as long as it has been legal for them to do so, the indictments of gun control advocates must appear to be incomprehensible, if not simply demeaning. We should not be surprised to learn that they may resent being depicted as irresponsible, nervous, potentially dangerous, prone to accidental or careless firearms handling, or as using their firearms to bolster sagging masculine self-images. Of course, from their viewpoints, they have none of these characteristics and in all likelihood resent being depicted as a demented and bloodthirsty lot when they are only guilty of embracing a set of rather traditional, rural, and masculine values. Indeed, one can only begin to understand the virulence with which gun control initiatives are opposed in these quarters when one realizes that what may be at stake is a way of life.
Or a system of government.

Logically, if the problem is "too many guns," then the only logical solution must be to reduce the number of uncontrolled ones to some arbitrary value indistinguishable from zero. Yet we peons won't comply, and we tell our elected representatives so.  We also tell them with our wallets.  Gun store shelves are empty.  NRA membership has surged.  And the Violence Policy Center has problems making payroll.  What is left for gun ban control safety forces to agitate with?

Despite claims to the contrary, mass shootings have not increased but media coverage of them has.

As Professor Brian Anse Patrick explained in his book The National Rifle Association and the Media: The Motivating Force of Negative Coverage, the media overwhelmingly sees itself as the clergy of the Church of State:
Journalists acquire importance in the mass democratic system precisely because they gather, convey, and interpret the data that inform individual choices. Mere raw, inaccessible data transforms to political information that is piped to where it will do the most good. Objective, balanced coverage becomes essential, at least in pretense, lest this vital flow of information to be thought compromised, thus affecting not only the quality of rational individual decision-making, but also the legitimacy of the system.

Working from within the perspective of the mass democracy model for social action it is difficult to specify an ideal role model of journalistic coverage other than a "scientific objectivism" at work. An event (i.e., reality) causes coverage, or so the objective journalist would and often does say. Virtually all of the journalists that I have ever talked with regard coverage as mirroring reality.

--

An ecclesiastical model most appropriately describes this elite journalistic function under mass democracy. Information is the vital substance that makes the good democracy possible. It allows, as it were, for the existence of the good society, a democratic state of grace. Information is in this sense analogous to the concept of divine grace under the pre-Reformation Roman Catholic Church. Divine grace was essential for the good spiritual life, the life that mattered. The clergy dispensed divine grace to the masses in the form of sacraments. They were its intermediaries, who established over time a monopoly, becoming the exclusive legitimate channel of divine grace.

--

Recollect that the interposition of intermediaries, the clergy, along a vital spiritual-psychological supply route was the rub of the Reformation. The clergy cloaked themselves in the mantle of spiritual authority rather than acting as its facilitators. Many elite newspapers have apparently done much the same thing, speaking and interpreting authoritatively for democracy, warranting these actions on the basis of social responsibility.

--

Journalists, particularly elite journalists, occupy under mass democracy this ecclesiastical social role, a functional near-monopoly whose duty becomes disseminating and interpreting the administrative word and its symbols unto the public. Democratic communication in this sense is sacramental, drawing its participants together into one body. We should not overlook the common root of the words communication, community, and communion.

--

What might be termed as the process of democommunication has aspects of transubstantiation an interpretive process by which journalists use their arts to change the bread and wine of raw data into democratically sustaining information. Democracy is a kind of communion. Objectivity and social responsibility become social necessities, legitimating doctrines much like the concept of papal infallibility, which had to emerge to lend weight to interpretive pronouncements.

In this light, even the laudable professional value of objectivity can appear as a nearly incredible claim. Both claims, objectivity and infallibility, function to lend credence, authority, and an impeachment-resistant moral/scientific base to organizational or professional products. Both are absolute in nature. Both also serve the quite necessary social function of ultimately absolving from personal responsibility or accountability the reporter, whether ecclesiastical or secular, who is, after all, merely duty-bound to report on the facts. As it is in heaven, so it will be on Earth; and as it is on Earth, so shall it appear in The New York Times.
Or as former President of CBS News Richard Salant put it:
Our job is to give people not what they want, but what we decide they ought to have.
I go through this in detail in my January 2008 essay The Church of the MSM and the New Reformation, but the gist of it is, journalists overwhelmingly have what Professor Patrick calls "an administrative control bias," and see government as the solution to all problems by controlling everything centrally. They are anti-gun not because they're Leftists, but because they're authoritarians (a distinction almost without a difference, I know,) and "Guns simply invite administration."  I mean, seriously.

And government itself is, by definition, run by authoritarians.  St. George Tucker in his 1803 Constitutional law review Blackstone's Commentaries wrote:
The right of self defence is the first law of nature: in most governments it has been the study of rulers to confine this right within the narrowest limits possible. Wherever standing armies are kept up, and the right of the people to keep and bear arms is, under any colour or pretext whatsoever, prohibited, liberty, if not already annihilated, is on the brink of destruction. In England, the people have been disarmed, generally, under the specious pretext of preserving the game: a never failing lure to bring over the landed aristocracy to support any measure, under that mask, though calculated for very different purposes. True it is, their bill of rights seems at first view to counteract this policy: but the right of bearing arms is confined to protestants, and the words suitable to their condition and degree, have been interpreted to authorise the prohibition of keeping a gun or other engine for the destruction of game, to any farmer, or inferior tradesman, or other person not qualified to kill game. So that not one man in five hundred can keep a gun in his house without being subject to a penalty.
It's always been that way. As Mao Zedong put it,
Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun.
And authoritarians are loath to share power.

So the authoritarians in government, aided by the authoritarians in the media and their useful tools in the "gun safety" movement work together in their attempt to reduce the number of guns in private hands to some value indistinguishable from zero.  But how to go about it?  Using England as the archetype:
  1. Make gun ownership difficult thus reducing the number of lawful gun owners through attrition.
  2. Increase the difficulty and expense involved in complying with regulations,
  3. Keep making ownership more and more onerous through rule changes and fee changes.
  4. Carry out publicized prosecution of gun owners for petty or trivial violations, producing a chilling effect on other owners. 
  5. Demonize guns and gun ownership in the media.  
  6. Once the population of gun owners has been decreased sufficiently to make their population politically ineffective, crank up the regulation even further - impose licensing and registration.
  7. Once the population of legal gun owners is small enough to be politically impotent, start confiscation.
Look at what it takes for a person who already owns guns to buy a new rifle in Australia:
Shooting Buddy arrived down from "up north" yesterday so this morning we decided to attack the paperwork for the new rifles.

The forms have to be completed on-line and then you take them to the Post Office for them to be sent to Firearms Branch.

I logged into the online forms process on one of my computers and the form didn't display - not to be discouraged I woke up one of my other computers and tried again and this time it worked.

We decided to do Shooting Buddy's application first. The form is interactive, so depending on how you answer questions additional ones come up. I am sure there are questions on there that weren't on the form last time I did it, that or I've blanked it out of my mind! You have to answer questions about names / previous names / addresses / previous addresses (sure, list all previous addresses with dates!) / criminal convictions / medication / VROs etc, etc.

Once you get through these type of questions you actually get to the bit to do with the firearms. To be honest this bit was quite simple - as you require a Firearms Serviceability Certificate for each firearm which contains all the relevant details (make, model, serial number, calibre) you don't actually have to fill this in on the form - only the Serviceability Certificate Number (and attach it to your application).

I only ended up having to ring the Firearms Branch twice during the process. Once was regarding how to put the 'other licencee' information (i.e. my information) in and the other time was at the end of the process as the guy on the phone had mentioned an additional form (Co-Users Permission Form) to me but the application process did not refer to this form at all. (Yes, you do need to submit it).

After filling in the six pages of information for Shooting Buddy we went to print it, which requires it to contact via the Internet to Firearms Branch and get a unique barcode - and for some reason this didn't work and we lost all of the entries and had to start again. Filling it in the second time was a bit quicker!

Validated and printed and then it was time to repeat the whole process for me.

No problems this time and once that paperwork was also printed and supporting documentation photocopied, we headed off down to the Post Office.

So for my application I had a five page printed form, a Firearms Serviceability Certificate for my firearm, a copy of Shooting Buddy's Firearms Serviceability Certificate, the Property Letter and the Co-Users Permission Form signed by Shooting Buddy.

Shooting Buddy's collection of paper was similar but he had a six page printed form as he had different answers to some of the questions than I did.

At the Post Office we had a short wait in the queue (apparently we were in the wrong queue but given that there was no signage showing two queues I didn't worry about that too much). Then the lady behind the counter had a look through my Firearms Application form and attachments (slight change from the last time I did this process where the initial response was "Do we process theses?") and then she asked me for 100 points proof of identification. No where in the online forms or documentation do I recall reading that I needed to supply this, however, luckily I did have enough cards in my wallet to prove that yes, I am who I say I am. (Interestingly enough the "Working with Children" Card does not count (even though it has photo, address and signature and itself was obtained with a 100 points ID check). My Medicare card - First Name & Surname only - and Credit Card - full name only - were taken in preference.

Once she had scanned the form's barcode, entered the reference numbers off each of the identification cards, asked for $72.50 and printed me a receipt it was Shooting Buddy's turn.
The legal hoops one must go through in Australia and the UK are designed not to reduce violent crime, but to control the number of legal guns in circulation - to make legal ownership so onerous that very few people will make the effort.

Now look what it takes to buy a BB GUN in New Jersey:
"You'll need a license for that," the clerk informed me when I asked to see a modestly-priced BB gun.  Surprised but undaunted, I whipped out my drivers license and slid it across the counter.  At which point it was obvious to me that it was obvious to him I'm not a gun person.

"To buy a gun in New Jersey you need a Firearm Purchaser ID Card from your Township's police chief.  Even a BB gun.  Can't even take one down to show you without it."

For better or worse, there would be no BB gun that day. Not for me anyway. Without a comprehensive criminal background check first I couldn't buy one. I couldn't even look at one. Not even a pink one. 
Read that whole piece, and note that the author was pissed off enough to go through with the ridiculous effort and expense to get a New Jersey Firearm Purchaser ID card.  But how many people are dissuaded?  And yet Chris Christie wants to make it more difficult.  Why?  Well, he says:
It’s hard for me to sit here today and say, ‘If all these things got imposed we’d see an ‘X’ percentage drop in gun violence in this state.’ I don’t know. Bad people are going to do bad things and so, would greater penalties deter people? You hope they do.
And I think he's being honest about that (wrong, but he believes it), but look at another example, Massachusetts:
In 1998, Massachusetts passed what was hailed as the toughest gun-control legislation in the country. Among other stringencies, it banned semiautomatic "assault" weapons, imposed strict new licensing rules, prohibited anyone convicted of a violent crime or drug trafficking from ever carrying or owning a gun, and enacted severe penalties for storing guns unlocked.

"Today, Massachusetts leads the way in cracking down on gun violence," said Republican Governor Paul Cellucci as he signed the bill into law. "It will save lives and help fight crime in our communities." Scott Harshbarger, the state's Democratic attorney general, agreed: "This vote is a victory for common sense and for the protection of our children and our neighborhoods." One of the state's leading anti-gun activists, John Rosenthal of Stop Handgun Violence, joined the applause. "The new gun law," he predicted, "will certainly prevent future gun violence and countless grief."

It didn't.

The 1998 legislation did cut down, quite sharply, on the legal use of guns in Massachusetts. Within four years, the number of active gun licenses in the state had plummeted. "There were nearly 1.5 million active gun licenses in Massachusetts in 1998," the AP reported. "In June [2002], that number was down to just 200,000." The author of the law, state Senator Cheryl Jacques, was pleased that the Bay State's stiff new restrictions had made it possible to "weed out the clutter."
That's what law-abiding gun owners are to our elected officials: "clutter." And the number of law-abiding gun owners was cut by over 87%.  But criminals?
But the law that was so tough on law-abiding gun owners had quite a different impact on criminals.

Since 1998, gun crime in Massachusetts has gotten worse, not better. In 2011, Massachusetts recorded 122 murders committed with firearms, the Globe reported this month — "a striking increase from the 65 in 1998." Other crimes rose too. Between 1998 and 2011, robbery with firearms climbed 20.7 percent. Aggravated assaults jumped 26.7 percent.

Don’t hold your breath waiting for gun-control activists to admit they were wrong. The treatment they prescribed may have yielded the opposite of the results they promised, but they’re quite sure the prescription wasn’t to blame.
Gun laws strengthened, "gun death" and "gun violence" increased.  Of course they won't admit they were wrong, even when faced with the fact that the Boston Marathon bombers were armed without having gotten handgun licenses first.  Or explosive licenses, for that matter.  The philosophy cannot be wrong! Do It Again, ONLY HARDER!

They won't admit that they were wrong because this is the outcome that is desired, because from an authoritarian perspective, "guns simply invite administration."  The "Fast and Furious" scheme that "walked" guns across the border into Mexico with no effort to interdict or trace them was, without a doubt, a government effort to inspire outrage over "lax gun laws" - laws that the Department of Justice and Homeland Security deliberately violated in order to put these weapons into the hands of drug cartels. The body count, attached to guns traced back to border gun shops was to have inspired calls for a renewed assault weapon ban and stronger gun laws.  This is the only analysis of the program that makes any logical sense, but it blew up in the administration's face when a Border Patrol agent became one of the bodies.  Violators of the existing background check system aren't prosecuted because the powers-that-be aren't interested in disarming the criminals, only the law-abiding.

Declining violent crime is the death-knell for gun control, and its supporters know it.  Worse, the authoritarians in government know it, too.  Add to that the spreading public realization that gun control doesn't make society safer, and another nail is hammered into the coffin.  The UK has universal licensing and registration, has banned full-auto weapons, semi-auto rifles and shotguns, and all handguns, yet these laws seem to have no effect on the number of guns still in criminal hands.  Criminals there can get machine guns, pistols and hand grenades, and they're still trying "to reduce the number of guns on the streets," by closing "loopholes" in the "strictest gun laws in the world" though officials admit "where there's a will there's a way". Economics 101: Supply and Demand.  More people every day realize that we don't need to follow their failed example.

More than 300 million guns are in an unknown number of private hands here.  The vast majority of gun owners are not licensed.  The vast majority of firearms are not registered.  Their trail ends at the Form 4473 in a dealer's file cabinet or box somewhere, and what happened to them after that is known only to the current owner.  It's been this way for decades.  But in order to "control" something, you must know where it is, and who has it. 

And the only people who will tell you who they are and what they own are the law-abiding.  "Universal background checks" are the gateway to a registration system, despite denials by the parties supporting both.

"Gun Control" isn't about guns, it's about control.  It isn't about disarming criminals, it's about disarming the law-abiding.  It isn't about making the public safer, it's about controlling us.  We've had almost two decades of increasing gun ownership and declining violent crime rates, and that has resulted in a population that in the majority does not view firearms as talismans of evil nor gun owners as social pariahs.  As Teresa Nielson Hayden put it back in 2002:
Basically, I figure guns are like gays: They seem a lot more sinister and threatening until you get to know a few; and once you have one in the house, you can get downright defensive about them.
And as the GeekWithA.45 put it in 2005:
In a truly civil society peopled primarily by enlightened, sober individuals, the carriage of arms might be deemed gratuitous, but it is nonetheless harmless.

In a society that measures up to anything less than that, the option to carry arms is a necessity.
America has achieved an armed population sufficiently large enough and motivated enough to effectively resist the authoritarian urge to disarm it. It is a never-ending struggle though, because The Other Side will not stop.